Race 7, Belmont: H.G. Bolton Sprint
The Listed H.G. Bolton Sprint runs over 1200m at Belmont on 25 July 2026, with the track rated Soft. The race-shape note flags a deep field where the final furlong does the sorting, which suits runners who settle and finish rather than those who try to hold on up front. That condition sits right in the middle of Twisted Steel's profile.
Twisted Steel ($2.70) is the market leader and the form reading supports the position. He has been tested against quality fields at this level and powered home well when placed in a Beaufine first-up, which is recent form at the right track. The caution is finishing speed: relative to this field, he is not the sharpest through the line, and a slow last furlong could cost him if the race develops into a sprint for home.
Immortal Bliss ($3.55) is the only runner who maps as a credible alternative. She came from the back and finished clear of them here first-up, which is the exact profile you want when the final furlong matters. The concern is a form pattern that has dipped since her earlier runs, so the question is whether the fitness lift from race one to race two unlocks that closing burst again. The market has her narrowly behind Twisted Steel, but the gap is not wide.
Madhi Girl ($6.25) shares the closing profile with Immortal Bliss and has form around the Beaufine first-up where stewards noted she was squeezed for room. She has also won second-up before, which adds relevance here. The honest read is that career form may have peaked, and $6.25 reflects that risk. She is a factor only if the race falls perfectly for her.
The scenario that reshapes this read: if the pace is genuine and the field strings out early, Immortal Bliss's closing burst becomes harder to hold off. If the pace is moderate and the sprint develops inside the final 400m, Twisted Steel's class and race experience give him the edge.
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