How Track Signal Assist works

From public form and live markets to a daily read on every race.

Track Signal Assist Illustrative

• Every runner, in every Australian race.
• Assist scores each runner’s real chance from form and race shape.
• It flags the runners the market has priced wrong. That’s the edge.
• And shows the reasoning behind every number.
• You make the call. Racing runs on variance, so Assist earns its keep across a season.

Belmont R1 · 1300m Maiden · 12 runners · Soft

Place confidence 6.3/10

RunnerBookExchWin%Place%

Western Jet C.T.Johnston-Porter / S.A.Miller · 56kg

3.50 4.10

25.2%

#1 · 61%

PartayVALUE W.A.Pike / Grant & Alana Williams · 56kg

3.50 4.40

26.1%

#2 · 43.6%

• ✓ Strong finishing burst that closes better than these rivals
• ✓ Fresh and ready after good spacing since last start
• ✓ Exchange rated this horse highly last start
• ✗ Typically settles further back than these opponents
• ✗ Long time since last win

Cawarra C.J.Parnham / N.D.Parnham · 56kg

8.00 9.20

11%

#5 · 36.3%

White Hot L.F.Flore / Daniel & Ben Pearce · 56kg

7.50 8.80

10.7%

#4 · 37.3%

Get started

The data

We at Track Signal take in every Australian thoroughbred meeting each day: form, track and going, barriers, gear and weights, alongside live market prices. That comes to about 1,600 races and 16,000 runners a month.

Track Signal Assist

Track Signal Assist is a machine-learning model that rates each runner from its form and the likely shape of the race, returning win and place probabilities. We retrain it as fresh results land, so it stays close to current racing rather than a frozen snapshot.

Why you can trust the read

Calibrated probabilities. When Assist says 30%, it means 30% over the long run. We are still wrong more often than we are right on any single race (that is racing), but the numbers are honest about it.

Trained the honest way. Assist learns from the full Australian form book and is judged only on data it had not already seen, across rolling windows of time, so its record reflects real performance, not flattering hindsight.

A dedicated place model. Top-three chances come from their own model, not a win number stretched to fit.

Signed and verified. Every prediction is served from a cryptographically signed model: what you see is what was trained and tested.

Where Assist and the market disagree

A probability on its own is not an edge. The market is sharp, and most days it has the price about right. We line Assist’s number up against the live price and surface the runners where the two pull apart. That gap is the part worth publishing, and it matters more than the raw strike rate.

What you get

• Full Assist output on every race: probabilities, market edges, and each-way and exotic flags.
• Subscribe for $29/mo and you’re straight into the model. Cancel anytime.

Honesty

We publish no invented results and no guaranteed returns. Racing runs on variance, and Assist earns its keep across a season rather than in any one race. If you have a bet, set what you are prepared to lose before you log in.

Start with 5 days free

Enter your card to start your trial. You’re not charged until day 5, and you can cancel anytime before then.