Race 7, Ladbrokes Geelong
Race 7 at Ladbrokes Geelong on 21 October 2026 is a Group 3 over 2400m on a Good track, and the speed map runs through The Euphrates. There is plenty of pressure in the run, so the question is whether the leader can hold a rhythm over the trip.
The Euphrates carries the strongest case. The profile fits: he won the Kingston Town Stakes at Randwick two back and found a couple too good in The Metropolitan last start. The caution is the step up in grade, since he is facing tougher opponents than he has met before. Market odds of $3.40 reflect that clear respect.
Point Of Law at $5.00 is the credible alternative. He is resuming after 15 weeks, but he won the Group 3 Bahrain Trophy at Newmarket before the break. The weight is the real question, as he carries the burden today, and the pace needs to stay genuine without being suicidal for him to be effective.
Litzdeel, at $5.25, is the dropping-in-class runner who raced wide without cover at Flemington two back. He gave all to the line when runner-up there last start. His cause depends on a cleaner run and on the field lacking the finishing punch his form has been up against.
The read shifts on pace. If the early tempo stays honest, The Euphrates is the horse to beat. If the pace collapses, Point Of Law and Litzdeel gain ground because they are not reliant on setting the race.
Chances are you're about to lose. Think. Is this a bet you really want to place?
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