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Rosehill GardensNSWRace 41800mGroup 3

Proxima Dea vs Cormier: Gloaming Stakes Preview

Photo: Rennett Stowe / CC BY 2.0

A tight three-way read at Rosehill on 10 October, with Proxima Dea narrowly preferred but Cormier and Genesis Runner both with a case.

By Jack Harrington · 10 Oct 2026

Market snapshot

implied chance = 1 ÷ odds
Proxima DeaFAV 25% 4.0
Cormier 20.8% 4.8
Genesis Runner 20% 5.0

Race 4, Rosehill Gardens: Schweppes Gloaming Stakes

Race 4 at Rosehill Gardens on 10 October 2026 is the Schweppes Gloaming Stakes, a Group 3 over 1800m on a Good track. The bigger field should put a squeeze on runners who need clear air early, and that factor shapes the read from the top.

Proxima Dea is narrowly preferred in the market at $4.00, and the case for her is straightforward: she drops in class, having faced stronger company recently, and arrives unbeaten off a freshen with a trial behind her. The caution is that she typically settles further back than these opponents, which becomes relevant in a race where the squeeze is real. An unbeaten filly at this trip in a group race is always worth watching closely, but this is her hardest test to date.

Cormier ($4.80) is the only horse close enough in the market to make this genuinely line-ball at the top. His form is trending the right way, and the step up to 1800m looks a logical fit given the way his late work has read. His Golden Rose run showed dour application rather than brilliance, and that temperament may suit the longer trip. The step up in grade is the risk: he has not faced a field this strong before.

Genesis Runner ($5.00) rounds out the contenders worth considering. He drops in class and has the ability, but recent form has drifted below his earlier efforts. He was slow to begin with blinkers first-up last start and still had every chance over the final 200m. That leaves the question of whether the excuse is repeatable or whether the declining line is the real signal.

The race changes shape if the pace is genuinely fast and the field fans wide. In that scenario, Proxima Dea's back-running style becomes less of a concern. If the field compresses and the squeeze comes early, the runner who handles the disruption best wins this. Proxima Dea fits that brief; the others need things to go their way.


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HorseOddsLast start
Proxima Dea4.0
Cormier4.8
Genesis Runner5.0

Frequently asked questions

What race is being run at Rosehill Gardens on 10 October 2026?

Race 4 is the Schweppes Gloaming Stakes, a Group 3 over 1800m on a Good track at Rosehill Gardens.

What are the market odds for the leading contenders?

Proxima Dea is priced at $4.00, Cormier at $4.80, and Genesis Runner at $5.00, making this a genuinely close three-way race at the top of the market.

Why does the 1800m distance matter for Cormier's chances?

Cormier has shown dour, grinding form in his recent runs, and the step up to 1800m is considered a logical fit for that running style, though he is stepping up in grade for the first time.

What is the key risk for Proxima Dea in the Schweppes Gloaming Stakes?

Proxima Dea typically settles further back than her opponents, and a bigger field that compresses early could test her ability to find clear running.

Last updated 10 Oct 2026

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